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UK's Royal Mail privatization subscribed in hours: sources
LONDON (Reuters) - Britain's Royal Mail privatization garnered orders for all
of the shares on offer in the space of a few hours on Friday, sources said,
marking a strong start for a selloff that stands to flush up to 2 billion
pounds ($3.2 billion) into government coffers.
The sale would be one of Britain's most significant since John Major's
Conservative government sold the railways in the 1990s and would give Royal
Mail access to the private capital it says it needs to modernize and better
compete in a thriving parcels market.
Kicking off the sale of the near 500-year-old company, the government said on
Friday it would dispose of a majority stake in Royal Mail, offering shares at
between 260 pence and 330p each and valuing the whole company at between 2.6
billion pounds and 3.3 billion ($4.2 billion to $5.3 billion).
Hours later it had already received orders for all of the shares on offer, two
sources close to the deal said, without giving an indication of where in the
range those orders had come.
If an "over-allotment option", whereby more stock can be sold if
there is strong demand, is exercised, the government's stake in the company
could fall to as little as 30 percent.
Analyst Robin Byde at brokerage Cantor Fitzgerald said that while the
medium-term issue remained how fast Royal Mail can grow its parcels business to
offset falling letter volumes, the valuation range made it attractive versus
European peers such as Austrian Post <POST.VI> and Belgium's bpost
<BPOST.BR>.
"The headline really is that it's priced to go," Byde said,
estimating Royal Mail was valued on a forward price-to-earnings multiple of
around 8 times versus an average of about 10 for the European sector. "We
would expect it to debut pretty well."
Royal Mail follows the initial public offering of bpost in June and comes after
stronger equity markets have helped revive new listings in Europe this year.
European firms have raised $15.9 billion from flotations in the first nine
months, three times the year-ago level, according to Thomson Reuters data.
The sale is the fourth time Britain has tried to privatize Royal Mail, which
traces its origins back to 1516 when mail was delivered by horse from King
Henry VIII's court.
Three selloff attempts in the last 19 years have failed due to opposition from
within the governing majority, which feared an electoral backlash from
tampering with a revered institution whose red post-boxes are known around the
world.
The latest sale effort has been criticized by the current opposition Labour
party and unions, who on Friday sent out ballot papers for strike action.
The ballot will close on October 16, five days after Royal Mail is scheduled to
make its stock market debut, with the earliest possible strike date being
October 23.
UNDER PRESSURE
Labour, which polls show is the frontrunner to win the next election, has come
under pressure from its union backers and party activists to pledge to
renationalize Royal Mail. While it has not ruled this out, Labour said it would
be irresponsible to do so without knowing how much it could cost.
The head of equities at a UK fund manager said Labour leader Ed Milliband's promise
earlier this week to freeze energy prices for 20 months if his party wins power
in May 2015 may have made Royal Mail more attractive to some investors.
"The income fund managers are quite intrigued by it (Royal Mail),"
said the manager, who declined to be named. "If our friend Ed is going to
make things difficult for utilities ... this is potentially quite a nice thing
coming through."
The government said it planned to pay a final 2014 dividend totaling 133
million pounds, equating to a full-year payout of 200 million had the group
been listed for the full year.
Based on the offer price range, that full-year payout gives Royal Mail an
implied dividend yield of between 6.1 percent and 7.7 percent - making it
attractive at a time when a regular UK savings account is yielding less than 3
percent.
Britain has also agreed to hand 10 percent of Royal Mail's shares to staff in
the largest share giveaway of any major UK privatization. If distributed
equally among the eligible 150,000 UK-based workers, each could receive 2,200
pounds worth.
The government said it expected around 30 percent of the shares on offer would
go to individual members of the public, who must spend a minimum of 750 pounds
to invest in the company.
Royal Mail, which no longer includes the Post Office services and retail
business, has annual revenue of more than 9 billion pounds. It more than
doubled profit to 403 million pounds in the year to March 31.
Last week Rapid Ratings, an independent U.S.-based ratings agency, gave Royal
Mail a cleaner bill of financial health than any of the world's post or parcel
companies, after a "dramatic" change at the firm over the past two
years.
Goldman Sachs <GS.N> and UBS <UBSN.VX> are running the sale of
Royal Mail, and are also joint-bookrunners along with Barclays <BARC.L>
and Bank of America Merrill Lynch <BAC.N>.
($1 = 0.6249 British pounds)
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